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Hot Embers News

Power and Public Life.

Essays on politics, economics, institutions, and the incentives behind the stories we tell ourselves.

Ancient Athenians in robes and sandals navigate a Times Square–style city scene, using laptops, drinking coffee, reading newspapers, and discussing civic issues.

Democracy · Revised from a 2015 article

Open Source and Democracy

What changes when citizens turn idle time into statesmanship?

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Children in bright blue floppy-eared hats moving away from a glowing venue into a dimmer landscape.

Immigration · Civic Continuity

An Apron & an Admission

Why are citizens quick to claim a nation’s triumphs, yet reluctant to inherit its mistakes?

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A revolver cylinder displays conflicting medical prices and insurance terms over health care claim forms.

Health Care · Game Theory

The Bluff-Fueled Price Spiral

How opaque estimates, inflated charges, and defensive bargaining turned American health care pricing into a self-sustaining bluff.

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The U.S. Capitol covered with bandages and scaffolding beneath storm clouds.

Band-Aid Politics · Bipartisanship

The Limits of Band-Aid Politics

Modern politics has become remarkably skilled at treating symptoms. That is something, I suppose. A Band-Aid may stop the bleeding. But when the bleeding comes from…

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A wooden stick lodged between the spokes of a cart wheel beside a pile of carrots.

Abundance · Automation

Who Needs Sticks in a True Carrot Economy?

For most of human history, societies have used some combination of carrots and sticks to regulate access to resources and shape behavior. In the justice system, the…

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A classical drawing of Lady Justice beside a childlike crayon version of the same figure.

Civil Rights · History

A Wallet-Free Conversation About Reparations

Tuning Out the Static Few subjects provoke as much immediate disagreement as reparations for slavery. For many people—some unwittingly, others perhaps…

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A tug of war across a chasm between businesspeople in a bright modern city and workers beside a dark industrial skyline.

ai · Artificial Intelligence

The Receding Goal: AI, Development, and Class Divides

The artificial intelligence revolution does not simply divide people into optimists and pessimists. It divides those who have the conditions to use the future from…

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Workers fight in an arena while spectators watch from the stands.

Class · Ideology

Meritocracy: A Slippery Eel in Olive Oil

On competence, inherited wealth, and the politics of deservedness Meritocracy is one of the most cherished moral stories in highly individualistic societies. It…

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A pantry of jars labeled trust, experts, institutions and promises, above shelves of emergency supplies.

Civil Liberties · Digital ID

The Rise of the Left-Libertarian

Why some liberals are becoming libertarian about power without becoming conservative about government. Something is shifting inside liberal politics, but the old…

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A fast-food meal box decorated with a national emblem, beside fries and a drink.

globalism · identity

Nativism Sells Like Hotcakes

The oldest fear in the human brain, served hot with fries. Pete Hegseth went to Normandy, on the anniversary of D-Day, and spoke of European beaches being “stormed”…

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Cavemen wield clubs and stones among skyscrapers and billboards in Times Square.

ai · artificial inteligence

Technology & National Boundaries: A Civilization Mismatch

One of the stranger realizations that emerges from studying Big History and complexity theory is that technological progress and social maturity do not necessarily…

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A three-headed dog towers over a crowded industrial city at dusk.

adam smith · ai

The Cerberus Market

Commodity, Broker, Consumer: Marx, Keynes, and Smith on AI Capitalism The economic problem is simple enough to state plainly: if capitalism weakens the consumer,…

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An empty family dining table in a dim kitchen, with a city skyline and rising market chart outside the window.

economy · finance

A Nation with a Tired Playbook

On national identity, threat, and how deep the blade went under the skin When I first moved to the United States, one of the things that struck me most was the…

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Four people celebrate on separate podiums, each marked number one, in We all can win by Frits Ahlefeldt-Laurvig.

Creative Work · Revised from the archive

Image: Frits Ahlefeldt-Laurvig · CC BY-NC-ND 2.0

Gratuity and Gratitude as Game Changers

Generosity expands access. Reciprocity sustains its source. A principle of shared value through authorship, recognition, and support for creative work.

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A person without housing sits on a bench beside their belongings, illustrated by Frits Ahlefeldt.

Social Protection · Revised from the archive

The Welfare State and Technological Revolution

If technological innovation creates profits while displacing workers, part of those gains should help finance social protection.

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